Pair #2889

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 47498

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1200

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Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24VACFIL-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the Vacherot vs Fils : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16469

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the Vacherot vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Fils must win every match including the Round of 16 against Vacherot. Winning the tournament necessarily means he won that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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