Pair #2870

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 526270

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7261

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue