Pair #287

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-UTA

Will Utah Mammoth win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4112

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Utah Mammoth win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-UTA

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 249359

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Utah Mammoth wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (wild card teams can advance). And winning the Central Division does not mean winning the Western Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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