Pair #2868

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7261

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 775874

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 20 at the Texas Children's Houston Open — these are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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