Pair #2857

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8247

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SJIM

Will Sungjae Im win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2280125

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is logically independent of finishing top 20 at the Texas Children's Houston Open. They are separate tournaments with no necessary connection.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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