Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HHAL
Will Harry Hall lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6077
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Harry Hall is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-HHAL
Will Harry Hall win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 138538
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Harry Hall wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:35Z
Reasoning: Winning a tournament does not require leading after Round 1. A player can win from behind after the first round. Conversely, leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning. No logical implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A