Pair #2851

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 801727

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30678

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: If Adam Scott wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The win implies a top-20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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