Pair #2849

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ASCO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Adam Scott finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30678

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3469868

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on Adam Scott's finish at the Texas Children's Houston Open, which is a separate tournament. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1910
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue