Pair #2832

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16897

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 36428

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 10 necessarily means finishing in the top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse is not true — a top 20 finish does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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