Pair #2830

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6248

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16897

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish — the player could finish outside the top 10 after the cut. A top 10 finish does imply making the cut, but that direction is not reflected here since top 10 is Event B.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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