Pair #2827

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6248

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.6900

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Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 44889

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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