Pair #2826

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 594785

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 36428

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily in the top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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