Pair #2825

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 594785

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16897

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily in the top 10. The reverse is not true — a top 10 finish does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue