Pair #2824

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 594785

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 6248

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:04:04Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, Potgieter must have made the cut. Winning implies making the cut as a logical necessity. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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