Pair #2821

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-APOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16897

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 710628

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 at the Houston Open (a separate event). Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue