Pair #281

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-DAL

Will Dallas Stars win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 41356

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Dallas Stars win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-DAL

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 317506

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dallas Stars wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:37Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (wild card teams can advance), and winning the Central Division does not require winning the Western Conference Finals. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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