Pair #2806

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9006

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29686

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:03:26Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish (a player could collapse over subsequent rounds). And finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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