Pair #2805

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 880119

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-STHE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29686

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:03:26Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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