Pair #280

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-DAL

Will Dallas Stars win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 41356

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Dallas Stars win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-DAL

Will the Dallas Stars win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 33404

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dallas Stars wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:37Z

Reasoning: The President's Trophy goes to the team with the best overall NHL record, which need not be the Central Division winner (another team in the division could have a worse record but the President's Trophy winner could be from another division). Similarly, winning the Central Division does not guarantee the best overall record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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