Pair #2795

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 92510

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17741

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:03:11Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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