Pair #2784

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-CGOT

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4867

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-CGOT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17741

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:51Z

Reasoning: The majors top-10 market covers the four major championships; the Houston Open is not a major. These are entirely independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -90.24% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4200
Days to maturity: 55
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: -94.45% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue