Pair #2771

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1383379

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 123782

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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