Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?
Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BKOE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32384
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:17Z
Reasoning: The Houston Open is not one of the 4 major tournaments. Finishing top 10 in all 4 majors has no logical bearing on the Houston Open result, and vice versa. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
6.90%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.9900
Days to maturity:
55
Hurdle yield:
4.21%
Excess yield:
+2.69%
PROFITABLE