Pair #2759

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BKOE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 123782

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Houston Open are separate tournaments. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0020
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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