Pair #2754

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22259

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32768

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:17Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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