Pair #2752

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53122

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32768

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish (could fade over remaining rounds). And finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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