Pair #2750

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53122

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22259

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:01Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish — a player can lead R1 and fall out of the top 10 over subsequent rounds. And a top 10 finish does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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