Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MLEE
Will Min Woo Lee win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2397702
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MLEE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27555
YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3400
Last: 0.7100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:01Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 5. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 5 does not mean winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.6800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A