Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MLEE
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27555
YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3400
Last: 0.7100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MWLE
Will Min Woo Lee win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3343364
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:02:01Z
Reasoning: These are two completely different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 5 at the Houston Open, and vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.3410
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A