Pair #2739

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MLEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22259

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MWLE

Will Min Woo Lee win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3343364

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: These are two different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 at the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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