Pair #2737

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13948

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55612

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 means finishing within the top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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