Pair #2736

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55612

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4467

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut (only players who make the cut play the final rounds). Making the cut does not guarantee a top-20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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