Pair #2732

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4467

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 28519

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player can collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue