Pair #2730

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 812749

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13948

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 10. If Finau wins, he necessarily finishes top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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