Pair #273

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-26-DAL

Will Dallas Stars win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2883630

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Dallas Stars win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-DAL

Will the Dallas Stars win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Dallas Stars
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 33404

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dallas Stars wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:37Z

Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record), and winning the President's Trophy does not require winning the Stanley Cup. These are independent achievements.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 12.56% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +8.34% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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