Pair #2729

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 812749

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TFIN

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tony Finau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4467

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:44Z

Reasoning: To win a PGA Tour event, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. If Finau wins, he necessarily made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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