Pair #2719

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1297

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2799

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:24Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). Finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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