Pair #2714

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 206

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8990

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:08Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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