Pair #2713

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 187008

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1297

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 5. So winning implies a top-5 finish. The reverse does not hold (top 5 doesn't mean winning).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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