Pair #2712

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 187008

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2799

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 10. So winning implies a top-10 finish. The reverse does not hold (top 10 doesn't mean winning).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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