Pair #2711

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 187008

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 206

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:08Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, Scheffler must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning the Houston Open logically necessitates having made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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