Pair #2710

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8990

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 187008

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:01:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1 (a player can win from behind). Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament. Neither direction holds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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