Pair #271

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-OTT

Will Ottawa Senators win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Ottawa Senators
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3852

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Ottawa Senators win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-OTT

Will the Ottawa Senators be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Ottawa Senators
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 64793

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Ottawa Senators are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:37Z

Reasoning: Winning the Atlantic Division guarantees a playoff spot. However, making the playoffs does not require winning the division (wild card exists). So division win → playoff qualifier, but not vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:36:57Z

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