Pair #2701

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1297

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 26409687

YES ask: 0.0820
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0820

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:49Z

Reasoning: These are separate tournaments. No logical necessity in either direction between winning the Masters and finishing top 5 at the Houston Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6120
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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