Pair #2699

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSCH

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 206

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 26409687

YES ask: 0.0820
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0820

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:49Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Texas Children's Houston Open are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on making the cut at the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5720
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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