Pair #2698

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8990

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 26409687

YES ask: 0.0820
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0820

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:49Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Texas Children's Houston Open are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters does not require leading after Round 1 of the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0420
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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