Pair #2690

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 135800

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24BENGAU-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Bencic vs Gauff : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-25T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3866

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the Bencic vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Gauff must win every match including the quarterfinal against Bencic. Winning the tournament necessarily means she won that quarterfinal.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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