Pair #2688

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 146036

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24BENGAU-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Bencic vs Gauff : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-25T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3866

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the Bencic vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Quarterfinal are separate tournaments. Neither result implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4000
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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