Pair #2687

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-OST

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jelena Ostapenko
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 30115

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Jelena Ostapenko wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-OST

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jelena Ostapenko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1035

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jelena Ostapenko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are entirely separate tournaments. Winning one does not imply winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -88.08% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -92.30% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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