Pair #2686

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 150218

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24SABBAP-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Sabalenka vs Baptiste : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-24T17:00:00Z
Volume: 53507

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.0900
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Sabalenka must win every match including the quarterfinal against Baptiste. Winning the tournament necessarily means she won that match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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